US sugar futures traded near 19 per pound, close to their highest since April 2025, amid growing supply concerns. While current supplies remain ample, the outlook is tightening rapidly as El Niño raises the risk of a deficit in the new season. Sugar is particularly exposed, with production concentrated in Brazil, India and Thailand, where weather risks are already mounting. StoneX recently projected a global sugar deficit of 900,000 tons in 2026/27, with several major producers expected to see lower output, including Thailand, India and the European Union. Thai production is expected to fall by at least 17% to below 10 million tons, while below-normal monsoon rainfall is raising concerns over India’s cane yields. In Europe, extreme summer heat is weighing on the sugar-beet crop, with output expected to decline by 19%. Meanwhile, wetter-than-normal conditions in Brazil’s Center-South are delaying harvesting and crushing, limiting mills’ ability to increase sugar production.
Sugar rose to 19.33 USd/Lbs on October 2, 2026, up 2.05% from the previous day. Over the past month, Sugar's price has risen 6.96%, and is up 17.36% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Historically, Sugar reached an all time high of 65.20 in November of 1974. Sugar - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on October 2 of 2026.
Sugar rose to 19.33 USd/Lbs on October 2, 2026, up 2.05% from the previous day. Over the past month, Sugar's price has risen 6.96%, and is up 17.36% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Sugar is expected to trade at 19.32 Cents/LB by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 20.17 in 12 months time.